Poll Shows Fewer Undecided Voters
UTICA, New York--Both President Barack Obama and Democratic Congressional candidates continue to consolidate support from party members, as Obama's job approval is back up to 49% and the party remains tied with Republicans on the question of which party's candidate voters plan to choose on Nov. 2.
This latest Zogby Interactive survey conducted from Oct. 8-11, 2010 also found the percentage of undecided voters dropped from 11% to 6% since the last poll on Oct. 4.
In the Congressional race in 2010, for which party's candidate do you intend to vote--Democrat of Republican?
|
|
Oct |
Oct |
Sep |
Sep |
Sep |
Aug |
Aug |
Aug |
Aug |
Jul |
Jul |
|
Democrat |
45% |
43% |
41% |
44% |
41% |
41% |
41% |
41% |
38% |
40% |
41% |
|
Republican |
45% |
43% |
46% |
43% |
47% |
43% |
43% |
42% |
46% |
43% |
43% |
|
Neither |
4% |
3% |
4% |
4% |
3% |
5% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
Not sure |
6% |
11% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
12% |
13% |
13% |
13% |
13% |
13% |
Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
While about nine in 10 Republicans and Democrats say they will vote for their party's candidate, Democrats show signs of improvement with their base, especially among the First Global" generation born since 1979, whose support jumped from 37% to 60% since last week's poll. Democrats also improved over our last poll in households earning less than $100,000 annually, but fell further behind the Republicans among those making more than $100,000.
Among independents, Republicans lead, 46%-34%, a difference that hasn't changed much from a week earlier. The percentage of undecided independents fell nine points, from 23% to 14%. Democrats continue to do well with political moderates, and lead the Republicans among them, 54%-30%.
|
Obama Job Performance |
Oct 11 |
Oct 4 |
Sept 27 |
Sept 20 |
Sept |
Aug 30 |
Aug |
Aug |
Aug |
Jul 26 |
July 19 |
June 28 |
June 7 |
May 10 |
Apr 19 |
|
Approve |
49% |
46% |
45% |
49% |
46% |
44% |
46% |
43% |
43% |
46% |
45% |
46% |
47% |
47% |
49% |
|
Disapprove |
51% |
53% |
54% |
51% |
54% |
56% |
53% |
56% |
57% |
53% |
54% |
53% |
53% |
53% |
51% |
|
Not sure |
<1% |
1% |
<1% |
<1% |
<1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
<1% |
1% |
1% |
<1% |
<1% |
1% |
<1% |
Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
President Obama's approval gained four points among Democrats (now 88%) and five among independents (now 45%). As in the Congressional generic ballot, Obama's standing with First Globals" and households earning less than $100,000 improved, but fell in higher income households. His job approval with moderates also improved to a robust 63%
In other findings:
- 35% of likely voters say the nation is headed in the right direction, and 56% say it is headed in the wrong direction, which is no change from a week earlier.
- The job approval of Congress is 23%. Approval of Congressional Democrats' performance is 37%, and approval of Congressional Republicans is 26%.
Pollster John Zogby: "The Democratic campaign, led by President Obama, to energize the party base is showing some results. A growing majority of young voters now favor the Democrats. The GOP has not yet sealed the deal with voters. We still don't know who will vote, and many independent voters hate both parties. Obama's approval rating of 49% is higher than that of both Reagan and Clinton at the same point in their first terms. So he has some good will among independents, and may try to use it as the race heads to the finish line."
The interactive poll consisted of 2,071 likely voters and has a margin of error of +/-2.2%. A sampling of Zogby International's online panel, which is representative of the adult population of the U.S., was invited to participate. Slight weights were added to region, party, age, race, religion, gender, and education to more accurately reflect the population.