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The new three-day rolling average of 1,030 U.S. likely voters, conducted online from Monday (October 29) through Wednesday (October 31), has a margin of sampling error of +/-3.1 percentage points.

NewsmaxZogby U.S. Nationwide Tracking Poll
Presidential Two Way Horserace
 
10/12-10/13
10/19-10/20
10/26-10/28
10/27-10/29
10/28-10/30
10/29-10/31
Obama
47.0%
47.4%
46.0%
45.9%
45.1%
47.2%
Romney
44.3%
43.8%
47.4%
47.1%
48.3%
47.1%
Undecided
8.7%
8.8%
6.6%
7.0%
6.6%
5.7%
 
NewsmaxZogby U.S. Nationwide Tracking Poll
Presidential Five Way Horserace
 
10/12-10/13
10/19-10/20
10/26-10/28
10/27-10/29
10/28-10/30
10/29-10/31
Obama
44.4%
46.0%
44.6%
44.9%
44.7%
46.6%
Romney
43.0%
43.2%
45.8%
45.2%
46.6%
45.5%
Johnson
3.1%
1.9%
2.0%
2.2%
1.7%
1.7%
Stein
0.8%
1.1%
0.9%
1.0%
0.8%
0.5%
Goode
0.8%
0.8%
0.2%
0.8%
0.6%
0.8%
Undecided
7.8%
7.0%
6.5%
5.9%
5.6%
4.9%


Pollster John Zogby: "Romney has gone from leading to a tie. Perhaps it is a combination of an improvement in Obama's job approval during the storm crisis and the great sorting out that normally happens late in a campaign. Obama continues to poll strong among his base -- Hispanics (64%-33%), African Americans (88%-8%), young voters (59%-34%), union households (59%-34%), and the Creative Class (50%-46%). Meanwhile Romney is gaining with evangelicals (70%-27%) and NASCAR fans (52%-41%). Neither candidate is where he needs to be with key groups: Obama still needs more support among younger voters (especially women) and Romney needs more white voters support (he leads 56%-38%). With minor party candidates in the race, Obama leads 47% to Romney's 46%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson receiving 2%, Green Jill Stein and Constitution Virgil Goode at 1% each. Among early voters, the race is very close with Obama polling 49% to Romney's 47%. Romney has a smaller lead now among "Definite" voters (49%-47%), and Obama leads among those "Very Likely" to vote (51%-38%). Key question here: how likely is "very likely". If that group votes, Obama wins; if they don't, he doesn't."

The NewsmaxZogby Poll of U.S. Likely Voters sampled 36.6% Democrats, 34.6% Republicans and 28.8% independents; 74.3% white, 10% Hispanic, and 12% African American; and 18% age 18-29, 39% age 30-49, 25% age 50-64, and 18% age 65+.

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