Almost two full years after the 2012 election, a lot has taken place. President Barack Obama’s approval numbers are stuck in low gear and his opponent, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney is quite vocal and mentioned as a possible candidate for 2016. So we at Zogby Analytics decided to get a reality check.

What if the 2012 election were done again? The results of our poll, conducted among 904 likely voters nationwide, showed the President and the former Governor tied with 40% each, 14% choosing an “other” candidate, and 6% not sure. This was hardly a vote of confidence for either man as Mr. Obama is down 13 points from his victory percentage and Mr. Romney has lost 6 points.

The President is losing, at this point in time, significant chunks of his base. He won 61% of the vote of 18-29 year olds in 2012 but now has only 47% of their support. He is down 9 points among Democrats (from 82% to 73%), 12 points among moderates (54% to 42%), 11 points among Hispanics (71% to 60%), and 13 points among African Americans (91% to 78%).

Significantly, Mr. Romney hasn’t gained any new support among any of those groups, however. The only group where he seems to have picked up is among Jewish voters, where he now leads 50% to 36% over the President. With that comes a warning: the sample of Jewish voters is only a total of 45. I cite this number, though, because even with a small sub-sample we can still detect a pattern. Normally, a Democrat still has at least two in three Jewish voters, although Mr. Obama has clearly lost some support among Jews.

The real loser here appears to be not only both candidates but public faith in the system. There is clearly a growing amount of angst and malaise and it appears to be nonpartisan. The fact that a man who was actually a very good candidate for President, Mr. Romney, cannot break through when the less than popular President is suffering from lower polling numbers, says that both parties have a real problem.

And the fact that the GOP standard-bearer has not even increased his support among younger voters and other key voting blocs might suggest that the GOP problem is even a larger one. Demographics are against the GOP as a national party so they will have to eventually cut into the growing segments of the electorate. They surely are not doing so.