A majority of Ohioans very much dislike both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump; they feel their state is headed in the right direction but feel the country is off on the wrong track in a new Zogby Analytics online poll of 679 likely voters in Ohio, conducted 5/18/16 - 5/22/16. The following bullets relate to questions we asked about the general election and the candidates themselves. The margin of sampling error is +/-3.8%.

  • US Direction/Ohio Direction:

Ohio, the Buckeye state, is considered a bellwether state in US Presidential elections; how it goes, is usually how the country goes.

Overall, 61% of Ohio likely voters think the US is headed in the wrong direction, while slightly more than a quarter (26%) think the US is headed in the right direction and 13% are unsure. Democrats (46%), voters age 25-34 (36%), African Americans (46%) and progressives (48%) are most likely to say the US is headed in the right direction. On the flipside, voters in the Columbus/Central region (69%), voters age 65+ (69%), Republicans (86%), conservatives (82%), voters who earn 150k+ annually (67%), Born Again Christians (69%), and veterans (68%) are most likely to believe the country is off on the wrong track.

Overall, voters are more optimistic about the current state of Ohio than they are about the country. A plurality (44%) of Ohio voters think things in their state are headed in the right direction, while more than a third (36%) of voters believe things are off on the wrong track. There is more optimism among certain sub-groups. Slightly more than half of voters in the Columbus/Central region (51%), men (51%), Republicans (54%), and Catholics (50%) believe things in Ohio are headed in the right direction. The groups most likely to say things are off on the wrong track are progressives (48%), liberals (45%), 18-24 year olds (56%) and women (41%).

  • Trump and Clinton Support:

We asked the question of Ohio likely voters, "Do you agree or disagree that Donald Trump is the best nominee for the Republican Party?" Only 34% of Ohio likely voters agree (strongly and somewhat agree combined) Trump is the best Republican nominee. A majority (58%) disagree. For most candidates this would spell doom. But luckily for Trump, he is most likely running against someone who is almost equally disliked by voters in Ohio. The only sub-groups where a majority agreed that Trump is the best nominee were Republicans (59%) and Conservatives (52%). Outside of these two groups and 25-34 year olds, those age 70+ and Catholics, a majority of people in every other sub-group disagree (somewhat and very combined) that Donald Trump is the best nominee for the Republicans. This represents a lot of voters and groups across the voting spectrum.

When we pose the same question about Hillary Clinton, "Do you agree or disagree that Hillary Clinton is the best nominee for the Democratic Party?", more than a third (38%) agree (strongly and somewhat agree combined). A majority (55%) disagree that Hillary Clinton is the best nominee for Democrats. In this poll, outside of the typical Democratic/progressive voter -25-34 year olds (52%), Democrats (79%), African Americans (82%), Progressives, Liberals, those who live in large cities, other/no religious affiliation, those who earn 25-35k annually, those who earn 50-75K annually, and single voters-Hillary is not well liked either. Every other sub-group (there were many but slightly less than Donald Trump) there are majorities of Ohio likely voters who disagreed she was the best nominee for the Democrats.

Neither Clinton nor Trump have good favorable/unfavorable ratings. At this moment Trump is leading among Ohio likely voters when it comes to his unfavorability. Six in ten Ohio likely voters have a somewhat (13%) and very unfavorable (47%) rating of Donald Trump.

Hillary Clinton is not far behind Trump with a 56% unfavorable rating (somewhat-12% and very unfavorable-43%). When it comes to favorability, Hillary Clinton edges out Donald Trump, 43% to 37%. Clinton has a slight edge in popularity against Trump but it's not nearly enough right now to be comfortable that she can definitely beat Trump in the General election and/or win Ohio. She also has to still fend off a late primary charge by Bernie Sanders. A lot can happen in the next two months!

  • Kasich/Sanders/Obama Support

Both Bernie Sanders and John Kasich were seen as more favorable among Ohio likely voters when compared with Trump and Clinton. John Kasich received a 51% favorable rating (35% somewhat and 16% very favorable) while Bernie Sanders received a 52% favorable rating (16% somewhat and 35% very favorable). The unfavorability rating for John Kasich is 42% (21% somewhat and 21% very favorable) and 44% for Bernie Sanders (22% somewhat and 21% very favorable).

President Barack Obama's favorability rating remains high at 52%. Ohio likely voters have a 27% very favorable rating while a quarter have a somewhat favorable rating of the President. When it comes to the President's unfavorability rating, 12% are somewhat unfavorable while three in ten are very unfavorable.

* Interestingly the poll appears to tell us that Mrs. Clinton (42% favorable) is unable to ride the positive shirt tales of President Barack Obama (52% favorable), while Bernie Sanders (52% favorable) is tied with the President. Is it possible that Ohioans are telling us that the presumptive Democratic nominee for President, Hillary Clinton, is the weaker of the two remaining Democratic contenders? The Next release will focus on head to head match-ups among the nominees in Ohio.