A new Zogby Analytics online survey of 1,257 likely voters, conducted between 7/5/16 - 7/6/16 with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points, shows Clinton gaining a point on Trump; she leads 41% to 38%, while 14% are not sure. The President's approval rating remains the same at 47% down from a majority of 53% in ZA's June 5 poll.

  • Obama Approval

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama's job as president?

Strongly approve 22%
Somewhat approve 25
Somewhat disapprove 17
Strongly disapprove 34
Not sure 2

  • US Direction

Right Direction 34%
Wrong Direction 57
Not sure 9

  • Horse Race

If the election for President were being held today and the Democratic nominee for President is Hillary Clinton and the Republican nominee for President is Donald Trump; the Libertarian nominee is Gary Johnson and the Green party nominee is Jill Stein for whom would you vote?

Hillary Clinton 41%
Donald Trump 38
Gary Johnson 5
Jill Stein 3
Not sure 14

*The key groups driving Trump's numbers are as follows: he continues to lead among Independents (34-30%), middle income voters-$35k-50k annually (44-32%), $50k-75K annually (44-41%), Catholics (46-36%) and NASCAR fans (45-35%). Trump has also increased his share of Hispanic voters with 26% in this poll (up from 21% a month ago), which is just one point shy of the 27% Mitt Romney received in the 2012 general election.

*The key groups driving Clinton's numbers are as follows: she leads among women at 40-36%. Clinton's lead among women has decreased slightly in the last month. Her winning the presidency will depend heavily on Millennials turning out to vote, currently Clinton lead Trump 40-26% among 18-29 year olds. Clinton is also winning among weekly WalMart shoppers, 46-38%.