Sunday, September 24th, 2017

The Trump
Era

Trump Approval

Trump Approval

US Direction

US Direction

American workers still support repeal of Obamacare; Oprah trumps the Donald!

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From March 27-29, 2017 Zogby Analytics conducted an online survey of 1,531 adults in the US who are working full time and part time and those looking for work.

Based on a confidence interval of 95%, the margin of error for 1,531 is +/- 2.5 percentage points. This means that all other things being equal, repeating an identical survey will have results within the margin of error 95 times out of 100.

The following are highlights from the poll:

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of Donald Trump's job as president?
1. Strongly approve 19%
2. Somewhat approve 21
3. Somewhat disapprove 13
4. Strongly disapprove 40
5. Not sure 7

A majority of American workers and those seeking employment disapprove of Donald Trump's job as president. Outside of his own party (Republicans--79% approve), older American workers (age 65+--57% approve) and rural workers (49% approve), every other sub-group has majorities and pluralities who disapprove of Trump's job as President.

U.S. Direction
1. Right Track 33%
2. Wrong Direction 50
3. Not sure

17

Half of American workers and those seeking employment believe the country is going in the wrong direction, while a third think things are on the right track; seventeen percent are not sure. Outside of Republicans--67% right track and older American workers (65+--53% right track), every other sub-group has mostly majorities and pluralities who believe the country is going in the wrong direction.

If the election for President were being held today and the Democratic nominee for President is Oprah Winfrey and the Republican nominee for President is Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?
1. Oprah Winfrey 46%
2. Donald Trump 36
3. Not sure 18

In a fantasy election, the mogul and former queen of daytime television defeats President Trump among American workers, 46% to 36%, with 18% not sure. If one television star can win the White House, why not another! Amazingly, Oprah wins a majority or plurality among almost every sub-group, including Democratic stalwarts, such as younger voters (18-24 years old-55%), African Americans (76%), Hispanics (58%), Asians (53%), and women (54%). She also has a plurality of support among two groups who helped Donald Trump to presidency-Independents (41%) and workers with no college degree (42%). Every income group supports Oprah over Trump. Workers earning <25k annually are the biggest Oprah supports among income sub-groups (55%).

Donald Trump does best with older voters' age 65+ (53%), rural voters (51%), married voters (43%), white voters (43%) and men (43%).

Do you support or oppose the repeal of Obamacare?
1. Strongly support 25%
2. Somewhat support 21
3. Somewhat oppose 17
4. Strongly oppose 26
5. Not sure 10

A plurality (47%) of American workers support (strongly and somewhat support combined) the repeal of Obamacare. Even though the Republican replacement-The American Healthcare Act-was handily defeated, most workers want to see Obamacare repealed. Whether they want something to fill its void is unknown, but what is a "known, known" is that the people who have been impacted the most by the Affordable Care Act, narrowly want it repealed, 47% to 43%, while 10% remain not sure.

Among workers who support repeal are white (48%), male (52%), self-employed (50%), earn$76k-$200k annually (51%), age 65+ (66%), part time (49%), have no college degree (48%), Independent (44%), Republican (73%), Asian (47%) and living in the West (49%).

Workers who oppose repeal are not surprising: they are younger voters 18-29 (47%), women (50%), African Americans (52%), workers in large cities (47%), Hispanics (49%), workers earning $51k-75k annually (48%), and living in the East (49%).

Interestingly, workers who are single, fulltime and have a college degree are split evenly in their support versus opposition.

 

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